USC Dornsife Poll: Trump 47%, Clinton 40%

Hillary Clinton sought to refocus voter attention on her candidacy and policy agenda amid the turmoil gripping the Democratic Party on Monday as she road-tested before veterans the message of optimism and experience she will carry through the party’s national convention this week.

A conservative political scientist says Donald Trump’s poll numbers are probably deflated because some people simply don’t want to admit they’ll vote for the Republican presidential nominee. And Trump’s latest polling rise is particularly significant because it might be based on more honest survey respondents. In a hypothetical two-way matchup, Trump beats Clinton at a slightly closer 48 to 45 percent.

Sixty-three percent of the Republicans polled said Trump has the temperament to be president, with 34 percent saying he does not.

Among Republicans who watched the convention, 83 percent said they now have a more favorable view of Trump, and 69 percent have a more positive view of their party.

The Republican earned about two-thirds of the white vote, while the poll had Clinton with the support of about four of every five black voters. Democratic President Barack Obama won the state by less than a percentage point in 2008, while Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney carried North Carolina by 2 percentage points in 2012.

In the CBS poll released on Monday, Trump led Clinton by one point, 43-42, including voters who are leaning toward Trump or Clinton. Ted Cruz and charges of plagiarism by Trump’s wife, Melania, the out in the open anger within the Democratic Party between Sanders and Clinton supporters has given Trump reason to cheer.

Tuesday, it’s Donald Trump’s day to speak.

This is Trump’s best performance in a CNN/ORC poll since September 2015.

Even when there are missteps, such as Melania Trump’s issues with plagiarism last week, voters generally respond well to the weeklong speaking lineup that’s created to paint candidates in a positive light, disparage rivals and energize the party’s most passionate voters. Nearly 6 in 10 (58 per cent) said the Republican convention spent too much time attacking Democrats, and 18 per cent called Trump’s speech “terrible”. Clinton’s negatives are now 4% higher than Trump’s.

“You will never hear me say, ‘I only listen to myself on national security, ‘” she told veterans gathered for the annual convention of the Veterans of Foreign Wars.

In Winston-Salem, Trump said he believes he can win over those voters by talking about renegotiating trade deals.

“It is extraordinary to think that yesterday in Philadelphia 61 speakers came to the podium and not one of them named ISIS by name”, Pence said.

Hoping to assuage some of those concerns, Clinton’s campaign has highlighted former military officials who’ve endorsed her in recent weeks.

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