Nationalist Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon demanded a new independence referendum in late 2018 or early 2019, but British Prime Minister Theresa May said on Thursday that “now is not the time” for such a vote. At no stage do they explain why the necessarily global struggle for socialism makes separation either desirable or necessary, because in reality they have no intention of fighting for a “socialist” Scotland, England, Europe or anywhere else.
Sturgeon said she understood not all Scots share her party members’ enthusiasm for a new poll. It shows that the European Union was just an excuse and that it has only ever been about independence for the SNP.
The theme of “democratic deficit” that brought Sturgeon, 46, to the SNP has been compounded by Brexit, she says.
Pollster ComRes found that 4% of Scottish respondents agreed with the statement: “Theresa May should insist that any second Scottish referendum on independence takes place only once Britain has concluded the process of leaving the EU”.
This “watering down” of the SNP’s European Union policy was allegedly first discussed at a strategy meeting in mid-January, according to the Sunday Times. The government in London, again, is ignoring the will of the Scottish people, they say.
But Mrs May has refused to agree to a second Scottish referendum before spring 2019, telling Ms Sturgeon “now is not the time”.
It’s important we resist the temptation: The United Kingdom is still greater as one whole than England would be on its own or even with Wales and Northern Ireland.
She said it would be a “democratic outrage” for the British Government to stop the people of Scotland “having a choice over their future”.
At the same time Scotland would also find itself outside North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, the main Western alliance.
‘The starting point for consideration is that Scotland would use the pound, ‘ she said.
If Sturgeon got her way and a referendum were held during Brexit negotiations, then, in order to avoid a vote for independence, the Government would need to avoid giving the impression negotiations were going any way other than swimmingly.
What holding a referendum during Brexit negotiations would achieve, as Ms Sturgeon surely knows, is maximum pressure on the British government, which would be incapable of fighting on a second front in Scotland.
Support for Scottish independence has fallen to 44 per cent, according to a new poll conducted by Panelbase. Just as it sounds unconvincing for Brexiteers now to argue for the union, it is hard for Ms Sturgeon to beat the drum both for membership of the EU and for exit from Britain.
But some caution against focusing too much on the minority of Yes voters who backed Brexit, arguing that the best case for another referendum is Brexit itself, as most Scottish voters were against it. There would be an independence referendum, but possibly not before the Brexit process was completed in 2020.
Apart from London, Scotland faces opposition from several other European Union states including Spain, which is facing independence campaigns from several regions, and whose leaders have said that a newly independent state would have to go through a years-long negotiation process to rejoin the bloc.
This is the “Barroso doctrine” – that if any part of an existing EU country becomes an independent state it has to apply for membership – and the European Commission has just reconfirmed that Scotland would be subject to this rule.